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October 30, 2011

It’s Gosu Predicts GSL November Code S

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Written by: GoSuMali

 

codes

On Thursday, October 27, everyone’s eyes were glued to the GOMTV media player where the group selection for the next GSL season was made. While some players picked their opponents for personal reasons (revenge, showmanship, et cetera), others based their decisions from a strategic point of view.

The It’s Gosu SC2 staff talked some smack, bandied some words, bet some beers, and has now assembled a set of predictions as to who will reach the second group stage.

 

Group A: Three Marines and the lonely MC

  SlayerS`MMA
  SlayerS`YuGiOh
  oGs.SK.MC
  SlayerS`Ryung

This is probably the most unexpected group among the seven, and that's owed in large part to the latest GSL winner, SlayerS`MMA.

The little Emperor surprised everyone by loading his own teammate SlayerS`YuGiOh into his group, but the most interesting storyline is that of the lonely oGs.SK.MC, who will wave the banner of Aiur alone in the group, and who will have his hands full against three slayers.

Sounds like a GSTL challenge, huh?

Considering the players composing this group and their recent performance, MMA emerges as the clear frontrunner, so the more pressing question is who will have the best chance to emerge as the group's second place finisher.

Ryung would seem to have a slight edge in that regard, but if MC shapes up like he did at MLG Orlando, the Kratoss Protoss may be able to draw on his experience to reach the second groupstage. YuGiOh, though, didn't just luck his way into Code S, and to count him out entirely would be a mistake.

It's Gosu predictions:

Ayesee:

  1.   SlayerS`MMA
  2.   SlayerS`Ryung
  3.   oGs.SK.MC
  4.   SlayerS`YuGiOh

beNz:

  1.   SlayerS`MMA
  2.   oGs.SK.MC
  3.   SlayerS`Ryung
  4.   SlayerS`YuGiOh

Redmage:

  1.   SlayerS`MMA
  2.   oGs.SK.MC
  3.   SlayerS`Ryung
  4.   SlayerS`YuGiOh

 

Group B: “I want a rematch against NesTea”

  IMNesTea
  MvPsC
  IMLoSirA
  FXOasd

"I want a rematch with NesTea."

Those are the words MvPsC used when Benz interviewed him following his defeat in the quarter-finals of the GSL May Code S by IMNesTea.

After five months without facing the king of Zerg, the young player from MvP will now have the chance to exact his revenge... but is it something he is capable of doing? With his recent results, NesTea is the clear favorite to top this group, and, on paper,  the second qualifying spot should be earned by his teammate, IMLosirA, who is a magnificent player and has the foremost Zerg practice partner on the planet.
Losira, though, was not able to defeat IMHappy last season, and the world found out he had a hard time playing against aggressive hellion strategies. That in itself could tilt things in favor of MvPsC. 

Nestea

It's Gosu predictions:

Ayesee:

  1.   IMNesTea
  2.   MvPsC
  3.   IMLoSirA
  4.   FXOasd

beNz: 

  1.   IMNesTea
  2.   IMLoSirA
  3.   MvPsC
  4.   FXOasd

Redmage:

  1.   IMNesTea
  2.   IMLoSirA
  3.   MvPsC
  4.   FXOasd


 Group C: Can the Canuck continue his dominance?

  TSL_CliDe
  EG.HuK
  ST_July
  SlayerS`Puzzle

This group is totally within range of the MLG Orlando winner, EG.HuK. The hero Canadian player has put together an overwhelming string of impressive results in 2011, most notably his first place finish at MLG Orlando, during which he defeated such heavy hitters as JulyZerg, MarineKingPrime, oGsTheStC and oGs.SK.MC. So long as he plays steadily, there is absolutely no doubt he will top his group.

To make a call which would make Tastosis proud, HuK's most scary opponent may well be TSL_CliDe, but despite an underwhelming performance at MLG Orlando, JulyZerg still rightfully deserves consideration as one of the best, and most dangerous, Zergs in the game... and it may well be his experience and consistency that give him the edge of CliDe and Puzzle.

While Puzzle is an impressive player-- which which may well have been a frontrunner in other groups-- one can't escape the feeling that's he's more than a little outclassed in this group, both in terms of skill and experience.


Image courtesy of MLG

It's Gosu predictions:

Ayesee:

  1.   EG.HuK
  2.   ST_July
  3.   TSL_CliDe
  4.   SlayerS`Puzzle

beNzz: 

  1.   EG.HuK
  2.   ST_July
  3.   TSL_CliDe
  4.   SlayerS`Puzzle

Redmage:

  1.   EG.HuK
  2.   ST_July
  3.   TSL_CliDe
  4.   SlayerS`Puzzle

 

Group D: The Terran Trio

  SlayerS`GanZi
  oGsEnsnare
  FXOLeenock
  TSL_Polt

For GSL veterans and fans of Korean Starcraft play, this group is likely to be the most interesting of the bunch. It features three Terrans, and we're not shy in suggesting that most of us have seen enough TvT over the last 3-4 months to last us a lifetime. Nevertheless, this group is likely to be one of the most competitive, and once against offers a chance for a SlayerS player to steal the spotlight.

SlayerS'GanZi is widely considered a frontrunner for this group, as this is his second Code S appearance following his solid semi-final run last season. For the record, he eliminated FXOLeenock in the Round-of-16, a fact which is bound to play some sort of role as the storyline of this group developes.

In terms of favorites, GanZi is closely followed by TSL_Polt, who may be one of the most well rounded players in the competition. His TvT is very good, and he's proven it a number of times, most notably during the GSL Super Tournament.

The darkhorse, though, is FXOLeenock, who comes into things with an axe to grind and every reason to start swinging from the word "go."

As for oGsEnsnare, he has been in Code S for a very long time, but has struggled making it deep into the tournament. The jury is still out as to if this will be the season in which he finalls breaks with that tradition.

It's Gosu predictions:

Ayesee:

  1.   SlayerS`GanZi
  2.   TSL_Polt
  3.   FXOLeenock
  4.   oGsEnsnare

beNz: 

  1.   SlayerS`GanZi
  2.   TSL_Polt
  3.   FXOLeenock
  4.   oGsEnsnare

Redmage:

  1.   SlayerS`GanZi
  2.   oGsEnsnare
  3.   TSL_Polt
  4.   FXOLeenock

 

Group E: DRG vs the world

  IMHappy
  MvPDongRaeGu
  FXOGuMiho
  ST_Bomber

Even though this group, like that which precedes it, features three Terrans, the inclusion of DRG into the mix differentiates it significantly, making it the "one to watch" from a fan's perspective.

The community darling, MvPDongRaeGu, is known for having one of the best ZvTs in the tournament, and arguably, the world. It's this reputation which lead to only FXOGuMiho mustering the courage to challenge him directly. 

As strong as DRG happens to be, though, the real sleeper in this group may well be IMHappy. 

In the previous season, Happy showed excellent results against Zerg players, most notably against IMLoSirA, whom he quite convincingly dismantled with his strong hellion play. As for Happy's TvT, he showed some kinks against SlayerS`MMA, kinks which are likely to show up again against ST_Bomber. 

Of course, no one can count out ST_Bomber, who is an incredible player with a resume of wins as long as mouse's cord. He has the ability, the experience, and the skills to warrant near absolute consideration as a top contender in the group.

As for GuMiho, even though he may have built some fan cred with his much ballyhooed challenge to DRG, all signs seem to point to his audaciousness being his downfall. While an excellent player, GuMiho is outclassed by every player in the group, and, barring a surprise showing, is likely to find himself on the outside looking in when all is said and done.


It's Gosu predictions:

Ayesee:

  1.   IMHappy
  2.   ST_Bomber
  3.   FXOGuMiho
  4.   MvPDongRaeGu

beNz:

  1.   IMHappy
  2.   MvPDongRaeGu
  3.   ST_Bomber
  4.   FXOGuMiho

Redmage:

  1.   MvPDongRaeGu
  2.   ST_Bomber
  3.   IMHappy
  4.   FXOGuMiho



Group F: The perfect group for NaDa to shine

  SlayerS`CoCa
  FXOOz
  SlayerS`TaeJa
  oGs.SK.NaDa

Along with TSL_CliDe and oGsEnsnare, oGs.SK.NaDa is arguably one of the most consistent players in GSL's short history. He is a very talented player and a living legend, yet... he hasn't really won anything. That has a decent chance of changing this time around, though, as his group (on paper, at least) may well be the weakest of the bunch. While he will still have to be in top form to best the SlayerS duo, Nada has a real chance to run the table and get himself into contention for the deep rounds this November. 

SlayerS`CoCa, like IMHappy, has continued to turn heads. Reaching the quarter-finals is one hell of an achievement, but he's going to be up against it a bit in attempting to advance out of a group with two strong Terrans... including a lopsided 3-0 loss to IMHappy in the past.

SlayerS`TaeJa and FXOOz are rather inexperienced in Code S, and they may struggle staying consistent against the level of play they face in this field. Both, though, have been known to show flashes of brilliance, and must be considered serious contenders, if not frontrunners.

It's Gosu predictions:

Ayesee:

  1.   oGs.SK.NaDa
  2.   SlayerS`TaeJa
  3.   SlayerS`CoCa
  4.   FXOOz

beNz: 

  1.   oGs.SK.NaDa
  2.   SlayerS`CoCa
  3.   SlayerS`TaeJa
  4.   FXOOz

Redmage:

  1.   SlayerS`CoCa
  2.   SlayerS`TaeJa
  3.   oGs.SK.NaDa
  4.   FXOOz

 

Group G: A dangerous group for TSL_Killer?

  oGsSuperNoVa
  ST_Virus
  TSL_Killer
  NS_jjakji

What stands out immediately about Group G is that Killer is bound to be having fits of deja-vu just looking at the player roster. TSL_Killer who is none other than the only Protoss who managed to reach the Round-of-16 last season losing to SlayerS`CoCa. oGsSuperNoVa and ST_Virus are also two players who were eliminated inlast season’s Round-of-32, while NS_jjakji was eliminated in the groupstage.

oGsSuperNoVa is the frontrunner from the gate due to his excellent TvT, but the fight for second will be rough and bloody. TSL_Killer and ST_Virus will battle it out, though jjakji will have his say as well. 

It's Gosu predictions:

Ayesee:

  1.   oGsSuperNoVa
  2.   ST_Virus
  3.   TSL_Killer
  4.   NS_jjakji

beNz: 

  1.   oGsSuperNoVa
  2.   TSL_Killer
  3.   ST_Virus
  4.   NS_jjakji

Redmage:

  1.   oGsSuperNoVa
  2.   ST_Virus
  3.   TSL_Killer
  4.   NS_jjakji



Group H: MKP to Code A?

  IMMvp
  TSL_aLive
  ST_Curious
  MarineKingPrime

This is finally the last group for November, and what a group it is.

The frontrunner, obviously, has to be the BlizzCon winner and GSL October runner-up, IMMvp. Even though he lost 4-1 to SlayerS`MMA, his TvT still remains one of the scariest, and in terms of refinement, Mvp is second to none.

When considering second place, though, things get a little more tricky. The two other Terran players, MarineKingPrime and TSL_aLive, are both of the "feast or famine" sort, showing flashes of brilliance at times, and glaring weaknesses at times. Even though MarineKing did not perform as well as he wanted at MLG Orlando or ESWC Paris, his results have still been solid, as is his TvT.

Alive, though, is in many ways a carbon copy of MKP, in both strengths and weaknesses. At the end of the day, it may be their matchup that shapes the way the entire group plays out.

Last, Startale’s Curious, who was undefeated during his run in Code A, rides into the group a darkhorse without experience. That lack of experience may well cost him the chance to earn more in the later rounds.

mvplosira

It's Gosu predictions:

Ayesee:

  1.   IMMvp
  2.   MarineKingPrime
  3.   TSL_aLive
  4.   ST_Curious

beNz: 

  1.   IMMvp
  2.   MarineKingPrime
  3.   TSL_aLive
  4.   ST_Curious

Redmage:

  1.   IMMvp
  2.   MarineKingPrime
  3.   TSL_aLive
  4.   ST_Curious


Think we got it wrong? Tell us why!


Comments (6)

  • SRBNikola wrote

    Horrible predictions honestly, especially last group, 3/3 counted ST_Curious out, but he has biggest chance to get #1 seed, that group will be really hard tho.

  • GoSuMali wrote

    Hello sir, could you please tell us in which way these predictions are horrible? I'm totally aware that Curious is an excellent player but IMMvp is just so sick against Zerg players and MKP as well as Clide are very good too. Of course Curious did extremely well in Code A but we don't know how good he will do against players who have been in Code S for a long time.

  • SRBNikola wrote

    Heya, Clides TvZ is not good at all and MKP's is unstable, Leenock also for example, FXOGuMiho is better than showed here too and EG.Huk is overrated, he is magnificent player but his group is really hard to be put that high, also July is in slump recently, Ryung being underrated his best match up being TvT, and is known for innovating and making variations of 1-1-1, and without a doubt is best TvP player in SlayerS. asd being good TvZ player and NesTea and LosirA struggling against Terrans(

  • GoSuMali wrote

    In my first post, I said bullshit, I wanted to say aLive and not CliDe, I'm sorry. Regarding GuMiho, I really do like him but he really has a tough group. He may have a chance against Happy since his TvT is not his best but I don't see him defeating DRG and Bomber. I really don't think HuK is overrated, he just has ups and downs like MC. After all, he won MLG ... I actually do agree with you about July but I still think he has more chances than the two others. About Ryung, I hesitate

  • SRBNikola wrote

    I am not saying GuMiHo will win or that my predictions are good, but i think u didn't accredit many things, GuMiHo is by no means outclassed for example, he has lower chances yes. Currently Curious is showing better results than aLive for example, as for experiance its not important after u go undefeated in one season xD, and he played a lot of GSTL matches for Startale. NaDa is really bad recently to be considered group taker against CoCa and TeaJa(TeaJa especially outstanding TvT player),

  • GoSuMali wrote

    Once again, you are right. But I like NaDa and I really do think he can do great in this group ^^ TaeJa was impressive in GSTL and I hope he'll do great in the regular season <3

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